Timely Updates

Rents have stopped climbing (for now). What it means for buyers and investors

For years the rent increase notice has been as reliable as the Brisbane summer storm. Every year it arrived. Every year it hurt.

The latest Domain figures suggest something has shifted. Across the combined capital cities:

  • House rents rose 7.7% over the year to September but 0.0% over the quarter.
  • Unit rents rose 6.2% over the year and 1.5% over the quarter.

So house rents went nowhere for three months. That's surprising when there still aren't enough homes to go around.

Why would rents stall in a shortage?

The likely answer is that renters have hit their limit. When rents have climbed this far for this long, there comes a point where tenants simply can't pay more. They share, stay put or move further out. Landlords who push too hard risk an empty property.

It's a bit like a petrol price that keeps rising. Eventually people drive less, even though they still need to get to work.

If you're an investor

Vacancies are still low and that's encouraging. It points to steady demand for rental homes. But it's a good time to be conservative with your numbers.

  • Budget for rent holding steady rather than rising.
  • Allow for a few weeks of vacancy each year.
  • Stress-test your cash flow at a higher interest rate.

If a purchase only works with rent growth baked in, it may be worth a second look (or a different property).

If you're a first home buyer

Slower rent growth could give you some breathing room. If your rent isn't jumping again at the next renewal, that's more money you might be able to put towards a deposit. Rents are still high, so don't expect miracles. But every month you can save a little more counts.

Hot Tip: Lenders like to see genuine savings over time. A steady track record of putting money aside can help your application as much as the dollar amount itself.

Run the numbers before you decide

Whether you're buying your first home or adding to your portfolio, the right answer starts with what you can comfortably afford. Book a complimentary chat and we'll work through it with you.

Book a complimentary chat

This information is general in nature and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Rental figures are from Domain as at September 2026. All loans are subject to lender approval, terms and conditions.

Frequently asked questions

According to Domain, combined capital city house rents rose 7.7% over the year to September 2026 but were flat over the quarter. Unit rents rose 1.5% over the quarter.

Budget for rent holding steady rather than rising, allow for a few weeks of vacancy each year and stress-test your cash flow at a higher interest rate. See our investment property loans page.

If your rent doesn’t rise at the next renewal, you may be able to save more towards a deposit. Lenders also like to see a steady record of genuine savings.

Johnathon Reeves - Time home Loans
About the author

Johnathon has spent 17 years in finance: six as a business and agribusiness banker at NAB and since 2015 as a mortgage broker. He runs Time Home Loans in Brisbane and helps clients right across Australia, comparing 50+ lenders to find the loan that fits and explaining why in plain English. He is an FBAA member and the author of The Great Australian Mortgage Guide. Johnathon Reeves is Credit Representative 478570 of outsource Financial Pty Ltd, Australian Credit Licence 384324.

Important information

This article is general information only. It doesn’t take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs, so consider whether it’s appropriate for you and speak with us before making a decision. Interest rates, lender policies and government schemes change, so check the current position with us before you act. Lending criteria, fees and charges apply. Time Home Loans Pty Ltd ACN 161 695 012, Credit Representative 529395 is authorised under Australian Credit Licence 384324.

Want to talk through your situation?

Book a complimentary strategy session. We’ll compare options across our 50+ lenders and explain what they mean for you in plain English. We’re based in Brisbane and help clients right across Australia.

Prefer to talk? Call (07) 3194 0888.